
84% of Middle East PE Relies on Hormuz: ICIS Data and What It Means for Q3 Recovery Pacing
Harrison Jacoby, director of PE at ICIS, confirmed in IOM3's March 2026 reporting that around 84% of Middle East

prodchem
Jul 9, 2026
India's fertilizer industry is entering a new phase as sustainability, energy security, and domestic manufacturing become increasingly interconnected. Discussions around green hydrogen and green ammonia are gaining momentum as policymakers and industry leaders explore ways to reduce dependence on imported fertilizer feedstocks while supporting long-term decarbonization goals.
The focus on building a green hydrogen ecosystem reflects a broader strategic objective: strengthening India's fertilizer supply chain through domestic production. For procurement professionals, developments in green ammonia manufacturing could reshape sourcing strategies, investment decisions, and fertilizer market dynamics over the coming decade.

Green ammonia is produced using renewable electricity to generate green hydrogen through water electrolysis. The hydrogen is then combined with nitrogen extracted from the air using the Haber-Bosch process to produce ammonia.
Unlike conventional ammonia production, which relies heavily on natural gas, green ammonia significantly reduces carbon emissions by replacing fossil fuels with renewable energy sources.
The result is a more sustainable ammonia production pathway with potential benefits for agriculture, energy storage, and industrial manufacturing.
Ammonia is the foundation of modern nitrogen fertilizer production.
It serves as the primary building block for products including:
Urea

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Ammonium nitrate

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Ammonium sulfate
Urea Ammonium Nitrate (UAN)
Nitrogen phosphate fertilizers
A stable ammonia supply is therefore essential for maintaining agricultural productivity and food security.
India remains one of the world's largest fertilizer consumers, with agriculture playing a central role in the national economy.
Expanding domestic green ammonia production could provide several strategic advantages.
Domestic production reduces exposure to international shipping disruptions and imported feedstock availability.
Renewable energy-powered ammonia production decreases dependence on imported fossil fuels.
Green ammonia supports India's broader climate goals while reducing the carbon footprint of fertilizer manufacturing.
Investment in green hydrogen infrastructure creates opportunities for new industries, skilled employment, and technological innovation.
Although large-scale commercial green ammonia production will require significant investment and time, procurement teams should begin monitoring industry developments today.
Key considerations include:
Green ammonia could introduce new domestic suppliers alongside traditional international producers.
Future supply agreements may increasingly include low-carbon ammonia and sustainable fertilizer products.
Organizations with environmental commitments may gradually integrate green fertilizers into procurement strategies.
Production costs are expected to decline over time as renewable energy capacity expands and green hydrogen technologies mature.

Despite strong momentum, several factors will influence the pace of green ammonia commercialization.
These include:
High initial capital investment
Renewable energy availability
Electrolyzer manufacturing capacity
Infrastructure development
Technology scale-up
Competitive production economics
As technology improves and investment increases, commercial viability is expected to strengthen over the long term.
Developing a competitive green ammonia industry requires collaboration across multiple sectors.
Key components include:
Renewable electricity generation
Green hydrogen production
Ammonia manufacturing facilities
Storage infrastructure
Transportation networks
Fertilizer production plants
Distribution systems
An integrated value chain will be essential for achieving cost-effective domestic production.
Growing investment in green ammonia is expected to influence fertilizer markets beyond India.
Potential long-term impacts include:
Increased regional production capacity
Diversified ammonia supply sources
Reduced carbon emissions
Greater supply chain resilience
Expansion of low-carbon fertilizer markets
While conventional ammonia will remain important for many years, green ammonia is emerging as a strategic growth segment within the global fertilizer industry.
Green ammonia is expected to become an increasingly important component of the global fertilizer industry as countries pursue greater energy security, sustainable manufacturing, and resilient agricultural supply chains. Continued investment in renewable energy, hydrogen production technologies, and industrial infrastructure will determine the pace of commercial adoption.
For procurement professionals, early monitoring of green ammonia developments offers valuable strategic insight. Organizations that understand emerging supply trends today will be better positioned to diversify sourcing, meet sustainability objectives, and adapt to the evolving fertilizer market in the years ahead.
Green ammonia is produced using renewable hydrogen and serves as the foundation for sustainable nitrogen fertilizer production.
Domestic green ammonia can strengthen fertilizer supply security by reducing dependence on imported feedstocks.
Procurement teams should monitor emerging green ammonia projects as potential future supply sources.
Renewable energy expansion and technological improvements will support long-term commercial growth.
Green ammonia is expected to play an increasingly important role in building resilient and low-carbon fertilizer supply chains.
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Harrison Jacoby, director of PE at ICIS, confirmed in IOM3's March 2026 reporting that around 84% of Middle East

A spokesperson for Crasus Chemical (the Resonac petrochemical spin-off) told C&EN

Today’s chemical logistics intelligence highlights the impact of Hormuz convoy reroutes, European supplier shifts with Velogy and Aequita, SABIC Europe’s strategic moves, a UK TRA investigation on trade remedies, and evolving fertilizer logistics amid the OCP tender. The report offers a comprehensive supply chain update for the week.